kravietz 🦇<p>Two years ago, I wrote that the <a class="hashtag" href="https://agora.echelon.pl/tag/russia" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Russia</a> has a standard set of tricks and it is very likely that they will use the same methods against Ukraine as they did against <a class="hashtag" href="https://agora.echelon.pl/tag/chechnya" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Chechnya</a> in the 2000s. </p><p>At the time, the terrorist attack in <a class="hashtag" href="https://agora.echelon.pl/tag/beslan" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Beslan</a> came as a shock to the West, which practically ended the moral and financial support for <a class="hashtag" href="https://agora.echelon.pl/tag/ichkeria" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Ichkeria</a>, which allowed the Russians to finish it off on their terms. </p><p>The question is, who could become the Ukrainian Basayev in this case? (and I will explain more in the next post)</p><p>Russians already tried this trick in 2022, creating some fantastic connections between Ukraine and ISIS through the highly exaggerated presence of Chechen and Crimean volunteers, ‘ISIS patches’, etc. It worked just like the ‘biolaboratories’ - everyone just rolled their eyes. They also decided to blame Ukraine on 2024 Crocus City Hall attack in Moscow, but it was such a far stretch than nobody believed it in Russia.</p><p>In 2023 they already ran the same story, except that time it was US who “hired <a class="hashtag" href="https://agora.echelon.pl/tag/isis" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ISIS</a> for attacks in Russia”:</p><p><a href="https://tass.com/defense/1575451" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://tass.com/defense/1575451</a></p><p>Today they announced Ukraine prepares terrorist attacks in EU, and I will quote them because the wording is important:</p><blockquote><p>According to information available to the SVR, European capitals are concerned about Ukraine’s utter unwillingness to make agreements with Moscow as long as it requires ‘excessive concessions’ from Kiev. According to the information that the Europeans have, Kiev is considering various options aimed at disrupting peace talks, which include carrying out a series of terrorist attacks on Russian diplomatic missions in European countries</p></blockquote><p><a href="https://tass.com/politics/1915859" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://tass.com/politics/1915859</a></p><p>The problem I see now is that Trump’s circles seem to live in an alternative reality where an attack can be carried out by a Russian from Russia with a tattoo of a ‘Z’ on their forehead and yet they will still blame Ukraine. And they will believe it as they currently believe in ‘4% support for Zelensky’, ‘Ukraine starting the war’ or ‘murdering Orthodox priests’ (this is just what I have read since yesterday). So it only needs to work for a selected audience, not necessarily for everyone.</p>