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#raykurzweil

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Ray Kurzweil wasn't far off on his predictions in his 1990 book Age of Intelligent Machines. Remember this was before CERN made the World Wide Web a thing. Pretty good sharp-shooting from 34 years ago!

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Age_

Copied text from Wikipedia:
Kurzweil explains that the "functionality per unit cost" in the computer industry has been increasing exponentially for decades. He says computer memory costs one one-hundred millionth of what it did in 1950, for example.[24] Kurzweil admits exponential trends do not last forever, but is convinced computer power could increase by millions of times beyond the 1990 level. If these trends continue, Kurzweil argues, we will see a "translating telephone" by 2010, intelligent assistants by the mid-1990s, and a "completely driverless car" by "well into the first half" of the 21st century.[25] He anticipates we will prove our identity by finger and voice prints and that artificial people will be present as holograms or robots.[26]

Kurzweil believes computers will pass the Turing test this century.
Kurzweil goes into detail about the Turing test and explains that "sometime between 2020 and 2070" the test will be passed to such a degree that "no reasonable person familiar with the field" will question the result.[27] Even as artificial intelligence replaces whole industries, Kurzweil insists there will still be a net gain of jobs.[28] He says fields like "communication, teaching, learning, selling, strategic-decision making and innovation" will continue to be staffed by humans. At work he predicts people will use electronic documents that will be a "web of relationships" like Ted Nelson's hypertext instead of linear like a book.[29]

As far as education Kurzweil feels children will have portable computers on which to run "intelligent and entertaining courseware". Papers, exams, electronic mail and even "love notes" will be sent over wireless networks.[30] All the advanced capability will alter the domain of warfare as well, leading to laser and particle beam weapons, and planes without human pilots.[31] Medicine will entail computer diagnosticians, coordinated data banks of patient histories, realistic simulations for drug designers, and robotically assisted surgery. This leaves humans open to do research, organize knowledge and administer "comfort and caring".[32]

Handicapped individuals will be greatly assisted by the advancing technology with reading machines, hearing machines, and robotic exoskeletons. Kurzweil believes the prejudice the handicapped now suffer will abate with their new abilities.[33] Kurzweil concludes the book by explaining that all of these advances will challenge us; as computers do ever more tasks that used to be our sole domain, as our intelligence is rivaled and then eclipsed by machines, he feels we will need to figure out what makes us human.[34]